Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Lublin
Motor Lublin4 - 2Szczecin
Krol (8', 38'), Mraz (28'), Jacques Ndiaye (75')
Samper (31'), Serge Simon (41'), Stolarski (48')
Samper (31'), Serge Simon (41'), Stolarski (48')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Pogon Szczecin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cracovia 6-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
31.69% ( -0.04) | 24.78% ( -0.02) | 43.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 0.08) | 45.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.07) | 68.1% ( -0.07) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0.02) | 62.94% ( -0.02) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.06) | 21.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.09) | 53.91% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Motor Lublin 31.69%
Pogon Szczecin 43.53%
Draw 24.78%
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.53% |
Form Guide
