Saints U21s

5 - 1

Stoke U21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 3-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.