Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.