Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
63.46% ( -0.03) | 19.66% ( -0.01) | 16.87% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.25% ( 0.14) | 37.74% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.01% ( 0.15) | 59.99% ( -0.15) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.69% ( 0.03) | 11.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.03% ( 0.07) | 35.96% ( -0.08) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( 0.13) | 35.61% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.62% ( 0.14) | 72.38% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.35% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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