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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
63.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.139 0.14)37.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.149 0.15)59.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)11.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.134 0.13)35.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.139 0.14)72.38% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%
    Bournemouth 16.87%
    Draw 19.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Draw
12.7%
Bournemouth
4.5%
110
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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