MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:13:29| >> :600:1098473:1098473:
Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Brighton logo

Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton


Leaburn (34')
FT
Charlton win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.81% (1.065 1.07) 23.99% (0.473 0.47) 44.2% (-1.536 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.146 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.743 -1.74)42.07% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.771 -1.77)64.47% (1.772 1.77)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.19 -0.19)25.56% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.264 -0.26)60.43% (0.265 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-1.33 -1.33)19.26% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-2.239 -2.24)50.98% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 31.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%
    Draw 23.99%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Charlton vs Brighton

Charlton Athletic
17.1%
Draw
3.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
78.9%
76
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Charlton
1-1
Brighton
Sarr (82')
Gross (47')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Brighton
3-2
Charlton
Wilson (50'), Zamora (83'), Hemed (84')
Calderon (45'), Stephens (75'), March (90')
Lookman (2'), Ghoochannejhad (6')
Cousins (44'), Henderson (45'), Fox (90'), Solly (91')
Bauer (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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