EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton

Leaburn (34')

Charlton win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
31.81% ( 1.07)	23.99% ( 0.47)	44.2% ( -1.54)

Both teams to score 60.1% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

-1.74)

42.07% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53% (

-1.77)

64.47% (

1.77)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

-0.19)

25.56% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57% (

-0.26)

60.43% (

0.27)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-1.33)

19.26% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-2.24)

50.98% (

2.24)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 31.81%

Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%

Draw 23.99%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.81%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.2%