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Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Brighton logo

Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton


Leaburn (34')
FT
Charlton win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.81% (1.065 1.07) 23.99% (0.473 0.47) 44.2% (-1.536 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.146 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.743 -1.74)42.07% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.771 -1.77)64.47% (1.772 1.77)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.19 -0.19)25.56% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.264 -0.26)60.43% (0.265 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-1.33 -1.33)19.26% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-2.239 -2.24)50.98% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 31.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%
    Draw 23.99%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Charlton vs Brighton

Charlton Athletic
17.1%
Draw
3.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
78.9%
76
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Charlton
1-1
Brighton
Sarr (82')
Gross (47')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Brighton
3-2
Charlton
Wilson (50'), Zamora (83'), Hemed (84')
Calderon (45'), Stephens (75'), March (90')
Lookman (2'), Ghoochannejhad (6')
Cousins (44'), Henderson (45'), Fox (90'), Solly (91')
Bauer (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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