Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
45.15% ( -0.03) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( -0.08) | 53.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( -0.07) | 74.93% ( 0.07) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( -0.05) | 23.57% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% ( -0.07) | 57.64% ( 0.07) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -0.03) | 33.51% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( -0.04) | 70.15% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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