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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford

Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford

Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
45.15% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 26.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)53.4% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)74.93% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-0.073 -0.07)57.64% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)33.51% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 45.15%
    Brentford 28.58%
    Draw 26.26%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
43.8%
201
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
Dec 26, 2017 7.30pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Sawyers (22'), Vibe (52')
McEachran (37'), Barbet (41')
Onomah (30')
Elphick (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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