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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford

Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford

Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
45.15% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 26.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)53.4% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)74.93% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-0.073 -0.07)57.64% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)33.51% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 45.15%
    Brentford 28.58%
    Draw 26.26%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
43.8%
201
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
Dec 26, 2017 7.30pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Sawyers (22'), Vibe (52')
McEachran (37'), Barbet (41')
Onomah (30')
Elphick (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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