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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')
Hughes (27'), Sambi Lokonga (59'), Doucoure (82'), Mitchell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
March (63')
Mac Allister (7')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
22.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.08%54.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 22.53%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
    Draw 23.08%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.38%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
16.3%
Draw
15.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%
153
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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