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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')
Hughes (27'), Sambi Lokonga (59'), Doucoure (82'), Mitchell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
March (63')
Mac Allister (7')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
22.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.08%54.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 22.53%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
    Draw 23.08%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.38%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
16.3%
Draw
15.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%
153
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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