Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.