Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.