Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.