Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-3 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Fulham win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.