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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
4 - 0
Crystal Palace

Murphy (4'), Gordon (44'), Longstaff (45+2'), Wilson (66')
Longstaff (39'), Trippier (45+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mateta (29'), Edouard (45+5'), Mitchell (60')

The Match

Match Report

Jacob Murphy scored once and provided two assists as Newcastle United beat Crystal Palace 4-0 in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Newcastle United midfielder Sandro Tonali is named on the substitutes' bench for this afternoon's Premier League clash against Crystal Palace at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
57.96% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 22.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 19.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.96%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.69% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.31% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (0.012 0.01)74.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.96%
    Crystal Palace 19.64%
    Draw 22.39%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 19.64%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
84.7%
Draw
10.7%
Crystal Palace
4.6%
131
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace
Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')
Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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