Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
33.89% ( -0.17) | 25.23% ( -0.02) | 40.88% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( 0.03) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( 0.02) | 69.32% ( -0.03) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.09) | 26.71% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( -0.12) | 61.98% ( 0.11) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 0.1) | 22.89% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 0.15) | 56.64% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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