EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 0Man City
The Match
Match Report
Alexander Isak nets a second-half winner as Newcastle United condemn Manchester City to a third-round exit in the EFL Cup.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup showdown with Newcastle at St James' Park.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Newcastle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-8 Newcastle
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester City |
28.64% ( -0.24) | 24.38% ( 0.04) | 46.99% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |