Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
46.08% ( -0) | 26.42% ( 0) | 27.5% |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% ( -0.01) | 54.54% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% ( -0) | 75.89% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0) | 23.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( -0) | 57.71% ( 0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% ( -0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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