Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.