Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.91%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 21.45% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.12%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.