Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | SC Farense |
49.06% (![]() | 23.53% (![]() | 27.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.53% (![]() | 42.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.13% (![]() | 64.87% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% (![]() | 17.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% (![]() | 47.94% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% (![]() | 28.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% (![]() | 64.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.82% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 27.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |