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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Farense logo

Arouca
2 - 1
Farense

Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 3-1 SC Farense

 The return of talisman Mujica will give the home side a huge boost for this game, especially if the striker returns in the same vein of form that saw him score eight in eight games before his injury. The visitors have struggled for victories in recent weeks and have only managed three away victories across the entire season, and we expect them to fail for their search for victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result
AroucaDrawSC Farense
49.06% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 23.53% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05) 27.41% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (0.098999999999997 0.1)42.46% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)64.87% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.11699999999999 0.12)17.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (0.203 0.2)47.94% (-0.202 -0.2)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.69% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)64.52% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 49.06%
    SC Farense 27.41%
    Draw 23.52%
AroucaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 27.41%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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