Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Farense

Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

After a couple of underwhelming performances, this is a must-win situation for Braga to keep in touch with the European qualification places. Farense are certainly no push-over, but we fancy the hosts to pull off a home win here, albeit that it may be a slender one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	SC Farense
72.96% ( -1.72)	16.08% ( 0.48)	10.96% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

3.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.55% (

1.57)

34.45% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.63% (

1.74)

56.37% (

-1.75)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.83% (

8.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.37% (

0.02)

28.63% (

-0.02)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.13% (

3.41)

41.87% (

-3.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.68% (

2.84)

78.32% (

-2.84)

Score Analysis

Braga 72.95%

SC Farense 10.96%

Draw 16.08%

Braga	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.36) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 72.95%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.08%	1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.96%