MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:49:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadiz (12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao

 While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
32.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.41% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.94% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.6% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 32.26%
    Famalicao 41.11%
    Draw 26.62%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Famalicao
0-1
Arouca
Sylla (90+3' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
4-1
Famalicao
Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
Colombatto (21')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')
Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!