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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Simao (80'), Galovic (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyokeres (19'), Catamo (90+1'), Hjulmand (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-5 Arouca
Friday, March 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

After a shaky start to the year, Arouca have upped the ante in recent weeks and will head into Sunday's clash brimming with confidence. However, Sporting Lisbon boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
11.56% (0.168 0.17) 17.21% (0.262 0.26) 71.23% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.7% (-0.806 -0.81)38.3% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.42% (-0.861 -0.86)60.58% (0.86 0.86)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.249 -0.25)43.43% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.209 -0.21)79.65% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.47% (-0.309 -0.31)9.52% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.08% (-0.73 -0.73)31.92% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 11.56%
    Sporting Lisbon 71.22%
    Draw 17.21%
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 3.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.56%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 17.21%
0-2 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.238 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-6 @ 0.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 71.22%

How you voted: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
16.2%
Draw
5.4%
Sporting Lisbon
78.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Arouca
Gyokeres (31'), Morita (68')
Diomande (29'), Edwards (45+2'), Quaresma (62')
Diomande (42')
Mujica (52')
Mujica (29'), Cristo (58'), Weverson (60'), Fernandes (64'), De Arruabarrena (74'), Santos (90+3')
Fernandes (87')
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Arouca
Goncalves (87' pen.)
Antony (38')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (58')
Paulinho (45+7', 82')
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Arouca
Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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