MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 03:58:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Simao (80'), Galovic (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyokeres (19'), Catamo (90+1'), Hjulmand (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-5 Arouca
Friday, March 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

After a shaky start to the year, Arouca have upped the ante in recent weeks and will head into Sunday's clash brimming with confidence. However, Sporting Lisbon boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
11.56% (0.168 0.17) 17.21% (0.262 0.26) 71.23% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.7% (-0.806 -0.81)38.3% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.42% (-0.861 -0.86)60.58% (0.86 0.86)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.249 -0.25)43.43% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.209 -0.21)79.65% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.47% (-0.309 -0.31)9.52% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.08% (-0.73 -0.73)31.92% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 11.56%
    Sporting Lisbon 71.22%
    Draw 17.21%
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 3.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.56%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 17.21%
0-2 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.238 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-6 @ 0.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 71.22%

How you voted: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
16.2%
Draw
5.4%
Sporting Lisbon
78.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Arouca
Gyokeres (31'), Morita (68')
Diomande (29'), Edwards (45+2'), Quaresma (62')
Diomande (42')
Mujica (52')
Mujica (29'), Cristo (58'), Weverson (60'), Fernandes (64'), De Arruabarrena (74'), Santos (90+3')
Fernandes (87')
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Arouca
Goncalves (87' pen.)
Antony (38')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (58')
Paulinho (45+7', 82')
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Arouca
Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!