Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
2 - 0
Arouca

Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Simao (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca

Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Arouca
34.42% ( 1.19)	26.48% ( 0.31)	39.1% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 52.44% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.63% (

-1.07)

52.36% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95% (

-0.93)

74.05% (

0.93)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

0.23)

28.94% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

0.29)

64.83% (

-0.29)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

-1.29)

26.2% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

-1.76)

61.29% (

1.76)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 34.42%

Arouca 39.09%

Draw 26.47%

SC Farense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.09%