Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | SC Farense |
46.65% ( -0.04) | 23.78% ( 0) | 29.56% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.79% ( 0.02) | 42.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% ( 0.03) | 64.61% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( -0) | 18.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( -0.01) | 49.38% ( 0.01) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( 0.04) | 27.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( 0.05) | 62.43% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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