Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS0 - 1Braga
We said: AVS 0-2 Braga
Despite continental exertions on Thursday, Braga's impressive run of avoiding an away league loss to every side outside the 'Big Three' since September 2023 at Farense should continue this weekend with a routine triumph against off-form AVS. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for AVS had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Braga |
11.08% ( -0.36) | 18.23% ( -0.2) | 70.69% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.09) | 44.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.08) | 66.76% ( 0.08) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.71) | 48.26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.58% ( -0.52) | 83.42% ( 0.52) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( 0.13) | 11.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.27) | 35.93% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
AVS 11.08%
Braga 70.68%
Draw 18.23%
| AVS | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.08% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.23% | 0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 9.42% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.14% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.68% |
How you voted: AVS vs Braga
AVS
11.4%Draw
4.5%Braga
84.1%44
