Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
32.58% | 26.95% | 40.48% |
Both teams to score 50.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% | 54.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% | 75.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |