Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.