Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Tondela |
42.66% | 28.05% | 29.29% |
Both teams to score 46.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.35% | 59.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.7% | 36.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |