Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Jun 17, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Capital do Movel
Pacos de Ferreira2 - 1Belenenses
Tanque (49' pen.), Sindile Theophilus Phete (90+2' og.)
Castanheira (63'), Amaral (64'), Santos (78'), Ferreira (90+4'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+6')
Castanheira (63'), Amaral (64'), Santos (78'), Ferreira (90+4'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Belenenses.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
| 45.25% | 27.39% | 27.36% |
| Both teams to score 46.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
