Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.