Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
43.38% ( 0.14) | 26.33% ( -0.05) | 30.28% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.1% ( 0.18) | 52.9% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.49% ( 0.16) | 74.51% ( -0.15) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.15) | 24.21% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( 0.21) | 58.55% ( -0.21) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( 0.04) | 31.99% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( 0.04) | 68.45% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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