We said: Portimonense 2-1 Boavista
While pre-season cannot always be relied upon as a guide, Portimonense have looked impressive in recent weeks, and, coming in with momentum following four consecutive victories, we see Paulo Sergio's side taking all three points at the weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.