Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Boavista

di Maria (61'), Leonardo (90+4')
Otamendi (49'), Silva (55'), Luis (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abascal (57'), Perez (80'), Vukotic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-4 Boavista
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Boavista managed to get one over Benfica on home turf in August and appear to be improving under Paiva after their dismal run, they face a particularly difficult test in a trip to the capital to take on Benfica on Friday. As Panteras will not make it easy for the defending champions, but Schmidt's side have the quality to come out on top at the Estadio da Luz and avenge the opening-day defeat, making it 17 league games unbeaten in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 10.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Boavista
72.89% ( -0.04)	16.76% ( 0.01)	10.35% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

0.04)

39.72% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

0.04)

62.07% (

-0.03)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.5% (

9.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.15%

31.85% (

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.42% (

0.08)

46.58% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.83% (

0.06)

82.17% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 72.88%

Boavista 10.35%

Draw 16.76%

Benfica	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 72.88%	1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.76%	0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.35%

How you voted: Benfica vs Boavista

Benfica

90.0%

Draw

0.0%

Boavista

10.0%

Head to Head

Aug 14, 2023 8.45pm

Gameweek 1

Boavista

3-2

Benfica

Bozenik (55', 90+13'), Lourenco (90' pen.)
Reisinho (1'), Petit (2'), Makouta (11'), Perez (14'), Onyemaechi (67'), Silva Conceicao (90+8'), Bozenik (90+15')
Lourenco (90+11')

Di Maria (22'), Silva (75')
di Maria (54'), Silva (65'), Bah (82'), Silva (88')
Musa (50')

> Preview

Feb 20, 2023 9.15pm

Gameweek 21

Benfica

3-1

Boavista

Gilberto (55'), Ramos (82'), Musa (90+2')

Njie (58')

> Preview

Aug 27, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 4