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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Relvas (69')
Guga (56'), Pedrao (86'), Dener (87'), Ventura (88'), Tornich (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gyokeres (59'), Paulinho (80')
Neto (34'), Goncalves (52'), Diomande (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 5-2 Portimonense
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting head into this match following a positive run of results, but the job is far from over, with Benfica and Porto still hot on their heels. The Lions are in good form lately, and we expect them to continue in that vein with another league win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
11.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 17.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 70.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (-0.142 -0.14)42.23% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (-0.143 -0.14)64.63% (0.146 0.15)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82% (-0.145 -0.15)46.18% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14% (-0.112 -0.11)81.86% (0.113 0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)10.74% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)34.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.46%
    Sporting Lisbon 70.54%
    Draw 17.98%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.46%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.98%
0-2 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 70.54%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
24.0%
Draw
4.0%
Sporting Lisbon
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 6pm
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Portimonense
Trincao (7', 41'), Goncalves (72'), Santos (76')
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Portimonense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')
Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')
Dec 29, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
3-2
Portimonense
Paulinho (65', 76', 83')
Esteves (22'), Goncalves (30'), Paulinho (45+3'), Nunes (63')
Reis (21' og.), Possignolo (90+2')
Willyan (30'), Sa (45+3')
Sa (58')
Feb 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Portimonense
Feddal (27'), Santos (31')

Ewerton (37'), Henrique (50'), Dener (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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