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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vizela

Braga
2 - 1
Vizela

Zalazar (53', 85')
Ruiz (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (50')
Quina (17'), Samu (41'), Ruberto (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Vizela

Both these sides need three points here but for very different reasons. Based on form and league position, the hosts should come through this one with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVizela
74.2% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 15.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01) 9.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)59.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8.59% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.64% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 74.2%
    Vizela 9.85%
    Draw 15.94%
BragaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 11.87%
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81%
6-0 @ 1.2%
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 74.2%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 15.94%
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Braga vs Vizela

Braga
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Vizela
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vizela
1-3
Braga
Essende (72')
Ortiz (45+3'), Busnic (78'), Escoval (81')
Banza (15', 56'), Bruma (90+6')
Borja (89')
Mar 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Vizela
0-4
Braga
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
2-0
Vizela
Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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