Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Portimonense3 - 5Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Portimonense 1-3 Braga
Braga are coming into this fixture in great form, having won four and drawn one of their last five matches. The Archbishops have also been dominant in their encounters with Portimonense, and we think that this dominance will continue on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
13.02% ( -0.16) | 19.05% ( 0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
