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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Gil Vicente logo

Braga
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ruiz (39'), Banza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alipour (59' pen.)
Buta (61'), Pereira (66'), Alipour (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente

October's reverse fixture ended in a pulsating 3-3 draw and we anticipate another action-packed contest between Braga and Gil Vicente this weekend. The Gilistas have struggled to get going away from home and we are backing Jorge's men to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawGil Vicente
66.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.29% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 14.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-0.052 -0.05)41.76% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)11.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.68% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.7% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.17% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 66.6%
    Gil Vicente 14.09%
    Draw 19.29%
BragaDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.22%
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.29%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 14.09%

How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Gil Vicente
3-3
Braga
Baturina (21'), Dominguez (58' pen.), Wilson (89')
Carlos (34'), Fernandes (43'), Pereira (71'), Tiba (90+6')
Banza (71'), Horta (78', 82')
Ruiz (70'), Djalo (76')
Niakate (55')
Apr 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
1-0
Gil Vicente
Horta (30')
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 26
Braga
0-1
Gil Vicente

Elmusrati (44'), Silva (90'), Horta (90+6')
Gomes (89')
Fujimoto (27'), Leautey (60'), Frelih (90+5')
Oct 25, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Gil Vicente
0-1
Braga

Pedrinho (49')
Oliveira (4')
Castro (49'), Sequeira (61'), Oliveira (81'), Moura (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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