Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.