MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:29:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Braga

 With the season now at its business end, both Estoril Praia and Braga know that they must avoid any further slip-ups in their final six games. Jorge's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while we expect Estoril to put up a fight, they should have enough firepower to see off the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (-0.169 -0.17) 20.7% (-0.052 -0.05) 61.1% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)40.28% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)62.66% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.211 -0.21)35.65% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.219 -0.22)72.42% (0.22 0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.73% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (0.103 0.1)38.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 61.1%
    Draw 20.7%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
 Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!