Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.76% ( -0.26) | 25.97% ( 0.07) | 39.27% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.33) | 50.2% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.3) | 72.16% ( 0.3) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.32) | 27.68% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( -0.41) | 63.23% ( 0.41) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( -0.05) | 25.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( -0.07) | 59.82% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |