Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
26.06% ( -0.33) | 25.83% ( -0.15) | 48.11% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 50.3% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.37) | 53.18% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.32) | 74.75% ( -0.32) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% ( -0.08) | 35.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.82% ( -0.08) | 72.18% ( 0.08) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.37) | 22.11% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( 0.56) | 55.48% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.06% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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