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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')
Djalo (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Braga know that they need to avoid any slip-ups in their final three games of the season as they look to secure a spot in Europe. Given the stakes of Sunday's game, we anticipate Jorge's side will go all out and secure maximum points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
72.78% (-0.578 -0.58) 16.26% (0.301 0.3) 10.95% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)35.41% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (-0.759 -0.76)57.45% (0.759 0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)8.44% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (-0.726 -0.73)29.31% (0.725 0.72)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.78%
    Casa Pia 10.96%
    Draw 16.26%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Casa Pia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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