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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')
Djalo (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Braga know that they need to avoid any slip-ups in their final three games of the season as they look to secure a spot in Europe. Given the stakes of Sunday's game, we anticipate Jorge's side will go all out and secure maximum points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
72.78% (-0.578 -0.58) 16.26% (0.301 0.3) 10.95% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)35.41% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (-0.759 -0.76)57.45% (0.759 0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)8.44% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (-0.726 -0.73)29.31% (0.725 0.72)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.78%
    Casa Pia 10.96%
    Draw 16.26%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Casa Pia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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