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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Estoril

Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of a dominant Europa League performance, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday with their morale high and full of confidence. The Leoes have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in experience and quality between the two teams, we are backing them to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
71.5% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 10.93% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)41.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.39% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)33.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.12% (0.101 0.1)46.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)82.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 71.48%
    Estoril Praia 10.93%
    Draw 17.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
87.3%
Draw
4.2%
Estoril Praia
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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