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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia

Estoril
4 - 0
Casa Pia

Marques (1'), Guitane (24'), Gomes (69'), Cassiano (90+5')
Marques (14'), Holsgrove (64'), Gomes (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Neto (32'), Roberto (36'), Cardoso (82'), Mukendi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Vizela
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Casa Pia

The hosts will be brimming with confidence heading into this match after claiming a massive three points last week, which saw them move off the foot of the table. However, they now face a Casa Pia side that have earned the majority of their points on the road and possess the best defensive record outside of the top three teams in the league. This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel these sides will end up sharing the spoils at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
41.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 32.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)75.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)60.95% (0.012 0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)31.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.63% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 41.04%
    Casa Pia 32.17%
    Draw 26.78%
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.17%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Casa Pia
12.5%
16
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
2-2
Estoril
Cardoso (85' pen.), Godwin (90+6' pen.)
Godwin (90+7')
Cassiano (74'), Alvaro (90+8')
Guitane (34'), Carvalho (58'), Cassiano (77'), Vital (83'), Geraldes (86'), Joaozinho (90+1')
Jan 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Estoril
2-0
Casa Pia
Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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