Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desportivo das Aves win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desportivo das Aves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.