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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Nacional

Gil Vicente
2 - 1
Nacional

Garcia Gonzalez (7'), Fernandes (90+7')
Garcia Gonzalez (89'), Fernandes (90+9'), Aguirre de Cespedes (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ulisses (50')
Soumare (41'), Aguiar Tomich (41'), Esteves (56'), Franca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boavista
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional

With just one point separating Gil Vicente and Nacional in the bottom half of the table, we expect both sides to go all out at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos as they look to get one over the other. Margarido's men have struggled to get going on the road and we fancy the Gilistas to come away with the desired result.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawNacional
56.07% (-0.136 -0.14) 23.99% (0.038 0.04) 19.93% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)51.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.026 -0.03)73.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)18.33% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.56% (-0.106 -0.11)49.43% (0.103 0.1)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5% (0.082999999999998 0.08)40.49% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89% (0.074999999999999 0.07)77.1% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 56.07%
    Nacional 19.93%
    Draw 23.99%
Gil VicenteDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 19.93%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Gil Vicente
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Nacional
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Gil Vicente
2-0
Nacional
Carvalho (4'), Cunha (16')
Mar 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Gil Vicente
2-0
Nacional
Marques (55'), Lino (71')
Afonso (44'), Nogueira (61')
Afonso (86')

Ramos (28'), Rochez (37'), Riascos (90+2')
Cesar (83')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
2-1
Gil Vicente
Camacho (57'), Rochez (90+3')
Thill (45+1')
Sam (45+5')
Leautey (49'), Goncalves (68'), Nogueira (82'), Mineiro (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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