Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
43.04% ( 0.68) | 24.8% ( 0.37) | 32.16% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -2.03) | 45.67% ( 2.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -1.96) | 67.99% ( 1.96) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -0.54) | 21.26% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% ( -0.85) | 54.18% ( 0.85) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -1.62) | 27.1% ( 1.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( -2.16) | 62.48% ( 2.16) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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