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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Gil Vicente logo

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ronaldo (15'), Costinha (45+3')
Samaris (31'), Patrick (66'), Luiz (81'), Vitor (90+5'), Pantalon (90+7')
Oudrhiri (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ronaldo (61' og.)
Carvalho (17'), Aburjania (84'), Carlos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have put together a fine run of form since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. However, Rio Ave have won their last two home matches and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. With that said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
44.35% (0.944 0.94) 26.24% (-0.19 -0.19) 29.41% (-0.755 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (0.428 0.43)52.89% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.363 0.36)74.5% (-0.364 -0.36)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.651 0.65)23.74% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.927 0.93)57.87% (-0.927 -0.93)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.334 -0.33)32.62% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.374 -0.37)69.17% (0.37299999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 44.34%
    Gil Vicente 29.41%
    Draw 26.23%
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente

Rio Ave
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Gil Vicente
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
Gil Vicente
2-2
Rio Ave
Navarro (80'), Costa (90+5')
Rodrigues (45+4'), Yakubu (71')
Yakubu (21')
Apr 3, 2021 6pm
Rio Ave
0-2
Gil Vicente

Augusto (6'), Geraldes (34')
Augusto (74')
Talocha (76' pen.), Lino (90+6')
Nogueira (38'), Lourency (57'), Silva (60')
Nov 29, 2020 3pm
Jul 5, 2020 5pm
Gil Vicente
1-0
Rio Ave
Sam (39')
Banguera (2'), Fernandes (28'), Lima (80')
Fernandes (54')

Amaral (38'), Augusto (83')
Dec 9, 2019 8.15pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Gil Vicente
Taremi (61' pen.)
Borevkovic (13'), Reis (54'), Taremi (86')
Taremi (87')

Baraye (30'), Fonseca (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes540162412
4Braga632184411
5Benfica531194510
6FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13BoavistaBoavista512234-15
14Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
15Nacional6114412-84
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora502338-52
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100


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