Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
69.99% ( -0) | 17.23% ( 0) | 12.78% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.95% ( -0.01) | 35.05% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% ( -0.01) | 57.05% ( 0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.02% ( -0) | 8.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.39% ( -0) | 30.61% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -0.01) | 39.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( -0) | 76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.97% 4-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.74% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.23% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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