Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente5 - 3Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril Praia
Both teams have had the international break to regroup after tough starts and will see Sunday as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. While the sides are relatively evenly-matched, the attacking signs that the visitors have showed so far this season lead us to believe they could get over the line on their travels, with Alejandro Marques aiming to continue his clinical start to life in Portugal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
42.43% ( 0.08) | 25.51% ( -0.13) | 32.05% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
