Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
48.13% ( 0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.04) | 25.85% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 49.54% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.92% ( -0.45) | 54.08% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( -0.38) | 75.51% ( 0.37) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( -0.01) | 56.04% ( 0.01) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.92% ( -0.62) | 36.08% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.13% ( -0.63) | 72.86% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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