MX23RW : Friday, January 17 22:54:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora

Farense
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Poveda (23')
Africo (63'), Merghem (74'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (81'), Bermejo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (19'), Jesus (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Farense
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Following a 7-0 hammering at the hands of Benfica, Estrela will head into Friday's clash looking to restore some pride and push clear of the danger zone. However, we predict that Farense will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and extend their unbeaten run against Faria's men to five games.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
50.74% (-0.121 -0.12) 24.74% (0.038 0.04) 24.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)50.04% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)72.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.72% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.128 -0.13)51.74% (0.13 0.13)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.034000000000006 0.03)35.03% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.034000000000002 0.03)71.77% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 50.74%
    Estrela Amadora 24.52%
    Draw 24.73%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
40.7%
Draw
51.9%
Estrela Amadora
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Estrela Amadora
0-3
Farense

Gaspar (45+1'), Santos (52')
Duarte (44' pen.), Belloumi (47'), Matias (79')
Duarte (34'), Caseres (65')
Dec 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Farense
0-0
Estrela Amadora
Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
Jaba (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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